Shifting Through Uncertainty

Shifting Through Uncertainty

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Headlines of the Week “Life is so Uncertain” – Lyle Lovett “Hear I Am” Turning points in the market produce plenty of uncertainty and with it volatility. Let’s review, a few months ago the Fed was keeping rates low, buying bonds, and not
Inflation & Weekly Update

Inflation & Weekly Update

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Headlines of the Week The Federal Reserve Some Fed meetings are more important than others. The Fed meets next week and it promises to be an interesting meeting. With inflation readings the highest in decades, a confirmed chair, empty seats filled (or soon to
January Inflation Update

January Inflation Update

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Headlines of the Week US Bureau of Statistics - CPI “When demand exceeds supply, the price must go up!” Or so my Microeconomics 101 professor used to say. Let’s look at our current inflation situation through that lens. Spring 2020: Pandemic hits, we
Fixed Income Sector Review

Fixed Income Sector Review

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Sector Review With the Fed tapering and entering a new phase of the rate cycle, we anticipate increased volatility in the markets. With volatility comes opportunity to pick up bonds at good prices and improve our portfolios. We continue to like municipal bonds, improving
2021 Year End Outlook & Update

2021 Year End Outlook & Update

All in all, 2021 was a reasonable year. While the bond indices didn't show much strength, our hard work paid off and we had a good year. As we look into 2022, we expect another challenging year, but we are prepared for it. We are positioning our portfolios to take
December Inflation Update

December Inflation Update

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Headlines of the Week US Bureau of Statistics - CPI Retiring “Transitory”… Google "Define: Transitory" you get a quick definition: “not permanent”. Fed Chairman Powell stated this is what they meant by “Transitory”. However, scroll down a bit and Merriam-Webster definition is: “of brief
Weekly Fixed Income Update

Weekly Fixed Income Update

Written by Sarah Conwell, Portfolio Manager Headlines of the Week Biden signs temporary funding bill to prevent government shutdownSen. Warren calls Fed Chair Powell a ‘dangerous man,’ says she will oppose his renominationChina Hidden Local Government Debt Is Half of GDP, Goldman SaysTwo Fed officials depart amid scrutiny over investment
Weekly Fixed Income Update

Weekly Fixed Income Update

Written by Sarah Conwell, Portfolio Manager Headlines of the Week Schumer sets Monday showdown on debt ceiling-government funding billEvergrande stays silent on its $83 million dollar bond interest payment, leaving investors in limbo The US Treasury yield curve steepened in the week, with the lion’s share of the long-term Treasury
Weekly Fixed Income Update

Weekly Fixed Income Update

Written by Peter Baden, CFA, Chief Investment Officer Headlines of the Week Social Security COLI Increases, largest in 40 yearsTapering on Track Taper now or Taper Later? That is the question on the markets mind. Analyzing the various economic tea leaves, the Fed could easily justify starting the Taper now or
Weekly Fixed Income Update

Weekly Fixed Income Update

Written by Sarah Conwell, Portfolio Manager Headlines of the Week Where Ida stands among the worst hurricanes to hit LouisianaJoe Manchin says he will oppose a $3.5 trillion budget bill The US Treasury yield curve barely budged in the week, even when considering the increase in long-term yields that materialized