<strong>Fixed Income Market Update</strong>

Fixed Income Market Update

March 10, 2023 Yesterday SVB Financial (SVB) parent company of Silicon Valley Bank announced they are doing a significant capital raise to cover losses from their portfolio of… Mortgage backed and Treasury Bonds. SVB stock dropped 60%, bonds and preferred issues were down significantly and Moody’s announced a downgrade of the
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

February 24, 2023 Sometimes markets can be clear, and you can see direction for as far as the eye can see. Other times, the vision is hazy, cloudy, or even stormy. Uncertain times make us long for clarity. We regularly run through an exercise to identify the source of the uncertainty
<strong>Fixed Income Market Update</strong>

Fixed Income Market Update

February 17, 2023 Markets rarely ever move in a straight line. Neither does inflation or the economy. And that is what we found in the last couple of weeks. After the strong employment report (that many discounted), we had more reports on Retail Sales, the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index. All of these important reports showed: a
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

January 24, 2023 Take a look at the yield curve chart below. The gold line is the curve on October 24, 2022 (The day the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury hit its most recent high), the green line is January 18, 2023. Since that point in October, the curve has twisted
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

January 13, 2023 Investing in fixed income is all about hierarchy. At the top are US Treasuries. They are the safest, most liquid fixed income investments in the market. Every other fixed income security trades off where the corresponding US Treasury issue is trading. That is for good reason, if you can buy a
<strong>Fixed Income Market Update</strong>

Fixed Income Market Update

January 6, 2023 Fixed income ended 2022 on a negative note. With the October and November CPI prints showing disinflation, the markets anticipated a more dovish Fed. However, the Chairman was resolute, and bond markets dropped as yields rose. So where do we stand after improving inflation reads in Europe and the US?
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

December 16, 2022 With another good CPI report in the hopper, the market continued the relief rally it started when the October CPI report was released. There was plenty of good news on the inflation front, month over month was only up 0.1% and Ex Food and Energy was up only
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

December 9, 2022 The bond market can be a pretty good forecaster. Looking back over the last 50 years, it’s been very good at forecasting recessions.  The track record? Seven for seven. And the crystal ball it uses to do this prediction? The yield curve, specifically an inversion of the yield curve.  The
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

December 2, 2022 Is the Fed finally Relenting? In a speech at the Brookings Institute, Chairman Powell laid out the Central Banks’ current thinking on the economy, rates and the path forward. In the speech, littered with caveats, the Chairman said what the market expected, and needed. The Fed is thinking of relenting. After
Fixed Income Market Update

Fixed Income Market Update

November 4, 2022 Wednesday afternoon the Fed Statement came out and it seemed, reading between the lines, that perhaps the Fed was changing their tune (Dare we say, Relenting?). As the market breathed a sigh of relief, the press conference started, and we found out Chairman Powell and the Fed are